Kamala Harris’ Chances of Beating JD Vance, New 2028 Poll Shows
Polling has suggested close hypothetical contests between Vance and prominent Democrats.
Former Vice President Kamala Harris is leading both Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio in hypothetical matchups for the 2028 presidential election, a new poll from the Public Sentiment Institute shows on Thursday. Early positioning by potential candidates has carried added weight, as polling since 2025 has suggested close hypothetical contests between Vance and prominent Democrats while highlighting uncertainty within both parties. Within the Democratic field, surveys in 2026 show Harris leading prospective primary voters overall in many polls, with California Governor Gavin Newsom and New York Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez also drawing measurable support, along with former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg.
No candidate has formally announced their candidacy. Vice President JD Vance speaks during an event at Milbank Manufacturing Company on Monday in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Eric Lee-Pool/Getty Images) What To Know According to the poll, Harris leads Vance 47 percent versus 38.
9 percent. Against Rubio, Harris has 46. 9 percent versus his 38.
9 percent. The poll also shows Harris leading versus Florida Republican Governor Ron DeSantis, 47. 2 percent to 38.
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