IPL 2026 Playoff Qualification Scenarios: With 6 matches to go, RR surge to 68.8% as race narrows for final playoff spot — odds for each team explained
With six games left, LSG and MI are out, while RCB, GT, and SRH have qualified for IPL 2026 playoffs. RR are best positioned among the remaining contenders, followed by PBKS. KKR, DC, and CSK have slim playoff hopes, with various tie scenarios influencing their chances for the final spots.
With six games remaining in the league stage, LSG and MI are already out of contention for the playoffs while RCB, GT and SRH have qualified. RR are best placed among the others followed by PBKS. KKR, DC and CSK are still in the mix but have slim chances.
There are now 64 possible combinations of results, so nothing is for sure yet for any of the five remaining in the race that haven’t qualified. We look at the probabilities: RCB are now sure to qualify and to at least finish tied for No. 1 in terms of points.
Their worst case scenario is a three-way tie for first place with GT and SRH SRH and GT have also qualified and for both the chances of at least being tied for the second spot are a healthy 75% Tuesday’s win has moved RR’s chances of ending up among the top four on points to 68. 8% and they could still end up in a three-way tie for second spot with SRH and GT, and there’s a 12. 5% chance of that PBKS can at best finish sole fourth (18.
8% chance) or tie for fourth spot with KKR (6. 3%) KKR’s chances of making the last four singly or jointly are now at 12. 5% and if they do tie for the last slot it will be with PBKS DC’s chances of making the last four on points are also at 12.