Dolphins schedule: Win probability for every game in 2026 season
The Miami Dolphins have a tough slate ahead in 2026. Let's look at how many games ESPN projects them to win this year.
The Miami Dolphins , in their first year under new general manager Jon-Eric Sullivan and head coach Jeff Hafley, have a tough slate of games to play in the regular season. In fact, their schedule is the second-toughest in the league only behind the Arizona Cardinals . With Miami unveiling their schedule last week, ESPN's Mike Clay released his shared win-probability projections for every Dolphins game in 2026, and there's no game that he projects the team with a more than 50% chance of winning a game.
Take a look at their win probability for each game below. Week 1 at Las Vegas Raiders : 27% Week 2 at San Francisco 49ers: 7% Week 3 vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 15% Week 4 at Minnesota Vikings : 17% Week 5 vs.
Cincinnati Bengals : 16% Week 6 BYE Week 7 at New York Jets: 20% Week 8 vs. New England Patriots: 15% Week 9 vs. Detroit Lions : 11% Week 10 at Indianapolis Colts : 13% Week 11 at Buffalo Bills : 6% Week 12 vs.
New York Jets: 33% Week 13 at Denver Broncos : 4% Week 14 vs. Chicago Bears : 19% Week 15 at Green Bay Packers : 8% Week 16 vs. Los Angeles Chargers: 15% Week 17 vs.