Western Conference Finals Predictions: Game by Game Picks for Spurs vs Thunder

Early in the 2025-26 NBA season, it became pretty evident that the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs were on a collision course for a matchup in the playoffs. Fortunately, the newest rivalry in the NBA will take place in the Western Conference Finals. While Oklahoma City finished the regular season with the best record in the NBA, it lost four of five games in head-to-head matchups versus San Antonio.

Those contests also showed how much bad blood there is between Victor Wembanyama and the Thunder, which adds even more intrigue to the series. With that in mind, let’s dive into our Western Conference Finals predictions. Game 1: Oklahoma City Thunder 113, San Antonio Spurs 109 IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect Oklahoma City is expected to get back wing Jalen Williams for Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals, an added boost for a team that’s already well-rested.

Wembanyama and the Spurs have already proven they can go into the Paycom Center and win, but the extra time to prepare paired with the home-court advantage can swing Game 1. We expect it to be a tight game from start to finish, but 30-plus points from Wembanyama with Ajay Mitchell and Williams combining for 30-plus will propel Oklahoma City to a Game 1 win. Game 2: San Antonio Spurs 117, Oklahoma City Thunder 110 IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect The Spurs will steal one from the Thunder; that’s one of our Western Conference Finals predictions we feel strongest about.

Wembanyama has already demonstrated he can completely neutralize Chet Holmgren, and the Spurs also have the guard depth to match up with Oklahoma City. In Game 2, Wembanyama puts up 35-plus points with 5 blocks and 2 steals in one of the most dominant two-way performances of the entire NBA playoffs. Plus, Dylan Harper comes off the bench with 18 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists to help San Antonio even the series as it returns home.