IPL 2026 Playoff Qualification Scenarios: With 11 matches to go, CSK crash to 35.9% as GT all but seal top-four spot - odds for each team explained
With playoffs in sight, Gujarat Titans and Royal Challengers Bangalore are strong contenders, boasting high qualification probabilities. Sunrisers Hyderabad also hold a solid chance. Meanwhile, Punjab Kings and Rajasthan Royals have a decent shot, while Chennai Super Kings' prospects have dimmed.
Kolkata Knight Riders and Delhi Capitals face slim hopes.
NEW DELHI: With 11 games remaining in the league stage, LSG and MI are already out of contention for the playoffs. GT can only miss out through the net run rate route and RCB have almost qualified while SRH would have to do really badly from here on not to make the playoffs. RR have a better than even chance while PBKS have a roughly even chance of ending up among the top four in terms of points, even if jointly.
CSK’s chances have taken a beating with Friday’s loss and KKR and DC have really slim chances. There remain 2,048 possible combinations of results, so nothing is for sure yet for any of the eight remaining in the race. We look at the probabilities: GT are assured of finishing within the top four in terms of points (though they could be tied with up to four other teams), and their chances of ending up in first or second spot, singly or jointly is an impressive 90.
2% RCB have an 99. 4% chance of finishing among the top four by points and an 83. 4% chance of being among the top two SRH’s chances of finishing in the top four by points is at 82.