IPL 2026 Playoff Qualification Scenarios: With 12 matches to go, PBKS slump to 43.8% as GT and RCB tighten playoff grip - odds for each team explained
With playoffs in sight for some and out of reach for others, the IPL race intensifies. Gujarat Titans and Royal Challengers Bangalore are nearing qualification, while Sunrisers Hyderabad are strong contenders. Chennai Super Kings and Rajasthan Royals hold even chances for the top four, as Punjab Kings' hopes dwindle.
Kolkata Knight Riders and Delhi Capitals face slim prospects.
With 12 games remaining in the league stage, LSG and MI are already out of contention for the playoffs. GT and RCB have almost qualified while SRH would have to do really badly from here on not to make the playoffs. CSK and RR have a roughly even chance of ending up among the top four in terms of points, even if jointly.
PBKS’ chances have slumped following Thursday’s loss. KKR and DC have really slim chances. There remain 4,096 possible combinations of results, so nothing is for sure yet for any of the eight remaining in the race.
We look at the probabilities: GT have a 99. 9% chance of finishing within the top four in terms of points (including possible ties), and their chances of ending up in first or second spot, singly or jointly is an impressive 79. 1% RCB have an 99.