PGA Championship: Our picks to win at Aronimink

Only two players have single-digit odds to win the 108th PGA Championship , which begins Thursday in suburban Philadelphia, and you know exactly who they are. So when it comes to picking who will win the second major of the 2026 season, shouldn’t the choice be between Scottie Scheffler (+400) and Rory McIlroy (+750) and nobody else? Well … maybe.

And as you’ll see below, probably. If we’re going to handicap this tournament, breaking down the Xs and Os, there’s this interesting comment from McIlroy on Tuesday when talking about the par-70 Aronimink: “Strategy off the tee is pretty nonexistent. ” But … “The greens are the main focus this week, and I think getting yourself in the right sections of the greens, making sure you leave yourself below the hole for the most part.

That's the key this week. ” So who does that favor? Statistically speaking, Brooks Koepka leads the PGA Tour — yes, he’s back — in strokes gained on approaches so far this season, followed by Collin Morikawa and Adam Scott.

McIlroy is seventh, Scheffler 42nd. Take that for what it’s worth. Now let’s get to our expert picks … Cameron Young lines up a shot on the second hole during a practice round prior to the PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club on May 12, 2026 in Newtown, Pennsylvania.