IPL Playoff Qualification Scenarios: With 15 matches to go, PBKS chances drop to 64.4% while DC cling on at 3.2% - odds for each team explained
With 15 league games left, Royal Challengers Bengaluru, Sunrisers Hyderabad and Gujarat Titans are favourites for IPL playoffs with nearly 88% qualification chances. Punjab Kings remain well placed despite slipping to 64. 4%.
Chennai Super Kings and Rajasthan Royals hover around 54%, while Kolkata Knight Riders and Delhi Capitals face slim hopes. Lucknow Super Giants and Mumbai Indians are eliminated.
With 15 games remaining in the league stage, LSG and MI are already out of contention for the playoffs and DC is barely hanging in there. RCB, SRH and GT would have do really badly from here on not to make the playoffs and PBKS too remains in a good position to get there despite Monday’s loss. CSK and RR have a better than even chance of ending up among the top four in terms of points, even if jointly.
KKR have a slim chance. There remain 32,768 possible combinations of results, so nothing is for sure yet for any of the eight remaining in the race. We look at the probabilities: RCB have an 88.
4% chance of finishing among the top four by points (including possible ties for one or more of those spots) and a 59. 4% chance of being among the top two SRH’s chances of finishing in the top four by points is only very marginally lower at 88. 1% and they have a 59% chance of being among the top two GT have an 88.