Yankees vs. Orioles prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for May 11

The Yankees (26-15) and the Orioles (18-23) open a three-game series at Camden Yards beginning tonight. New York enters after being swept by the Brewers in Milwaukee over the weekend. Despite the three straight losses and falling a game behind Tampa in the AL East, the Yankees remain the team to beat in the American League.

Powered by Aaron Judge (MLB-best 16 HRs) and Cody Bellinger (. 444 average in May), New York carries an AL-best run differential of +73 into the game tonight. The Orioles, meanwhile, have the worst run differential in the American League (-41).

They have lost three of their last four. They sit nine games behind Tampa in the AL East. Gunnar Henderson is hitting .

211 and Pete Alonso just . 214. Those numbers are at the foundation of their issues.