Thunder vs. Lakers – Game 4 Round 2 NBA Playoffs – predictions: Odds, stats, trends and best bets for May 11

Oklahoma City looks to close out their series with the Lakers tonight in Los Angeles. They lead LeBron James and co. three games to none.

Each game has remained relatively close through three quarters only to see the Thunder roll in the fourth quarter and win by double digits. Their depth, pace, and defensive pressure have overwhelmed Los Angeles at every turn, and their dominance has been consistent both in Oklahoma City and in Game 3 in SoCal. The Lakers have repeatedly doubled Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and dared the rest of the Thunder to knock down shots.

They have slowed down SGA, but the aforementioned depth has made plays. Chet Holmgren scored 19 points and pulled down 9 rebounds, Cason Wallace had 16 off the bench in 25 minutes, and Isaiah Joe was 4-6 from deep in the 131-108 win Saturday. Down 0–3, the Lakers face a deficit no team in NBA history has ever overcome, and their performances so far haven’t suggested a breakthrough is imminent.

LeBron James and Austin Reaves have carried or attempted to carry the offense, but turnovers, inconsistent shooting, and the absence of Luka Dončić (hamstring) have left Los Angeles overwhelmed. The Lakers’ path to extending the series requires near-perfect execution: controlling tempo, limiting turnovers, and finding reliable scoring beyond James. Rui Hachimura’s strong Game 3 performance—21 points and five made three’s—offers a glimmer of hope, but Los Angeles will need multiple players to exceed expectations to stay alive.