Pick of the stats: Millwall v Hull City

Millwall and Hull City's promotion destiny will be decided when they meet at The Den in the second leg of their Championship play-off semi-final on Monday (20:00 BST). The sides played out a goalless draw in the first leg at the MKM Stadium on Friday night and extra-time and penalties may be needed to determine which side progresses to the final at Wembley on 23 May to face either Southampton or Middlesbrough. Hull City have won on each of their past two trips to Millwall, both coming in the Championship in January 2025 (1-0) and December this season (3-1); it's as wins as in their previous 27 visits (D10 L15).

Millwall have won four of their previous six home games (L2), keeping a clean sheet in all four victories, while they recorded more shutouts than any other side in the home Championship games in the regular season (11). Hull won just one of their final seven away league games to finish the Championship season (D2 L4), suffering as many away defeats in that run as in their first 16 away league matches of 2025-26 (W9 D3). Hull are aiming to become the first sixth-placed side to reach the Championship play-off final since Derby County in 2018-19, with each of the six seasons since seeing the side that finished third in the regular season at least reach the final.

Millwall are aiming to reach the Championship play-off final for the very first time, and first play-off final of any sort since winning the League One final in 2017; Hull are looking to reach their third Championship play-off final, having won in both 2008 and 2016. In 2026, 11 of Millwall's 18 home goals in the Championship came via set pieces (5x free kick, 4x throw, 2x corner), with three of their first six shots in the first leg coming from throw-ins. Millwall's Jake Cooper created more chances than any other player in the first leg (3), as well as winning three of his four aerial duels; during the regular season only Bristol City's Rob Atkinson (74.

6%) had a better aerial duel success rate than his 73. 6% (271/368). Hull's Kyle Joseph was involved in three of their four goals against Millwall during the regular season (2 goals, 1 assist); he only has more goal involvements in the Football League against Burton Albion (4 goals).