Will it rain during the Kentucky Derby? Latest forecast shows showers
In 2025, the National Weather Service recorded that Louisville reached a high of 65 degrees during the Kentucky Derby.
Guests planning on attending the 152nd Kentucky Derby May 2 should pack a coat – and maybe a poncho – to prepare for colder-than-average temperatures during the race, according to the latest forecast from the National Weather Service in Louisville . Much like last year, the 2026 Kentucky Derby is expected to be mostly cloudy with a chance of light rain, but the day is supposed to be colder than recent years, according to historical weather data recorded by NWS. In 2025, Louisville reached a high of 65 degrees on Derby day, with historical data showing Louisville saw a high of 83 degrees on Derby day in 2024.
NWS predicts May 2 temperatures will reach a high near 56 degrees, with a low around 38 degrees. Temperatures are likely to drop significantly by the post time of the race, which is scheduled for 6:57 p. m.
NWS meteorologist Mark Jarvis previously told The Courier Journal low temperatures in the region could cause frost to form – a rare event in Kentucky after May 1 that could indicate shifting weather patterns. Louisville weather radar . Ruby Grisin contributed to this report.
This article originally appeared on Louisville Courier Journal: Kentucky Derby 2026 weather updates, rain outlook