Numbers suggest firing Carlos Mendoza won’t jumpstart lowly Mets
ANAHEIM — The Mets continue to say they’ll be better. They say they trust their players will start performing up to the standards they’ve been known for. They trust the back of the baseball card.
Yet night after night, things seem to be getting worse. Thursday night, the Mets touched down in Orange County after yet another brutal loss. Manager Carlos Mendoza remains the manager as they begin a three-game trip through Anaheim, Denver and Phoenix.
This trip could be Mendoza’s last stand, but it’s tough to tell. President of baseball operations David Stearns seems to have no desire to fire his manager. Rarely does a midseason firing spur success the way fans think it will.
A new manager would inherit the same team, meaning the same anemic offense, a pitching staff that has only a handful of reliable arms, a defense that can barely turn a double play and an injured list full of All-Stars. FanGraphs crunched the numbers to see how often in-season managerial moves lead to success. The answer is not especially often.
Since 2004, managers fired in-season had a winning percentage of . 414 at the time of their ouster. The result for the new skippers was a .
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