Predictions, Odds, Analysis! UFC Vegas 116, X-Factor
SAN ANTONIO, TEXAS - SEPTEMBER 13: (R-L) Alexander Hernandez punches Diego Ferreira of Brazil in a lightweight fight during the Noche UFC event at Frost Bank Center on September 13, 2025 in San Antonio, Texas. (Photo by Cooper Neill/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images) | Zuffa LLC via Getty Images This weekend (Sat. , May 2, 2026), Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) will venture forth to RAC Arena in Perth, Australia for UFC Perth.
Set those alarm clocks ladies and gentleman! For once, the Australian fans will get to enjoy a fight card at their appropriate local hour, which means anyone in the US who wants to tune in will have to stay up real late or wake up very early. Those who are willing to tune in will enjoy a dynamite striking matchup between former champion Jack Della Maddalena and fearsome knockout artist Carlos Prates, which is nearly guaranteed to entertain.
As one would expect, the rest of the card highlights Oceania’s finest fighters and up-and-comers. Let’s dig into the analysis and predictions of the three main card fights leading up to the co-main event: Flyweight: Tim Elliott (-400) vs. Steve Erceg (+285) Best Win for Elliott?
Tagir Ulanbekov For Erceg? Matt Schnell Current Streak : Elliott has won two in a row, while Erceg rebounded last time out X-Factor: Elliott is 39, though seemingly ageless How these two match up: This is a great booking of Top 10 Flyweights, though the odds are way out of whack. The only man to defeat Elliott in the last four years in Muhammad Mokaev, one of the very best 125-pounders in the world.
Despite his age, Elliott’s wrestling and physical strength are holding up extremely well, and his submissions are perhaps more dangerous than ever. Conversely, Erceg has looked shaky after nearly capturing UFC gold in his fourth UFC fight. A talented boxer with a jiu-jitsu black belt, 30-year-old Erceg should have the skills to be a contender if he can put it all together.
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