soccer

Can Leeds feel safe from relegation after back-to-back wins?

BBC Sport

Tottenham 's draw with Brighton cut that to eight points, but with just five games of the season remaining, a place in the Premier League next term is now, surely, within touching distance for the West Yorkshire club. "I still think we need to stay with our foot on the gas and keep going because there are strong teams behind us that will try and chase us down," Leeds manager Daniel Farke told BBC Match of the Day. But the manner in which the German celebrated with the home fans at the end of the game suggests he feels safety is close - even if he would not admit it.

Wolves and Burnley will, barring a miracle, take up two of the three relegation spots with Tottenham , West Ham , Nottingham Forest and Leeds in a battle to avoid the third. Nottingham Forest and West Ham have the chance to extend the gap to 18th-place Spurs over the next couple of days, with the former hosting Burnley on Sunday (14:00 BST) before West Ham travel to Crystal Palace on Monday (20:00). Regardless of those results, Leeds look to be in a strong position - but have they already done enough to beat the drop?

Leeds close on safety to leave Wolves on the brink Spurs' survival hopes dealt blow by late Brighton equaliser While no fan will be completely relaxed until safety is mathematically secure, history suggests Leeds be confident in planning for another season in the top flight. They would claim an unwanted record were they to go down because no team has ever been relegated after taking 39 or more points from their first 33 games of a 38-game Premier League season. Victory over Wolves takes them past the current record of Birmingham, who had 38 points at this stage of the 2010-11 season, and were relegated.

In fact, even if Leeds did not claim another point they could consider themselves unfortunate to go down given only six have ever been relegated with 39 points or more in a 38-game season. Even then it has not happened in the past 14 seasons with Birmingham and Blackpool, who both achieved 39 points, the last teams to go down with as many points as Leeds have already got. In every season since 2015-16, 36 points would have been enough to survive, so if you go by the stats things are looking very good for Leeds .

After back-to-back wins and four league games unbeaten, Farke's men are the team in form, while Tottenham have not won a league game in 2026 and only two since 26 October. Leeds also appear to have, on paper, the most favourable remaining fixtures with a home match against a Burnley team who may already have had relegation confirmed before travelling to Elland Road on 1 May. Trips to Tottenham and West Ham , on the final day of the season, follow and given the buffer they have to their relegation rivals, avoiding defeat would likely represent a win for the Whites.