MLB Best Home Run Bets For April 16, 2026—Arraez And Jensen
Check out which player might get on the board with his first home run at juicy betting odds and which rookie’s homer odds are too short for his immense power.
Luis Arraez is looking for his first home run as a member of the San Francisco Giants, and he could get on the board today at homer-friendly Great American Ball Park. Getty Images After a nearly two-week hiatus for MLB Best Home Run Bets, today’s picks will look to return with a bang. As a reminder, bets on players to hit homers will lose more often than they win.
To that point, the best home run bets for the season are only 3-6-1 (the one is a no bet for Griffin Conine because he didn’t start). Line shopping –looking for the most favorable betting odds across all available sportsbooks in a bettor’s particular market– and informed home run bets can yield a profit, even with a losing record. Despite the 3-6-1 record for the best home run bets this season, any readers and gamblers who placed $100 wagers on all of the suggested home run props at the listed odds are up $800 on the season.
There will eventually be downs in the rollercoaster of betting on homers. Still, the early-season winners provide some wiggle room, and two players with long odds on today’s MLB slate would provide an even bigger cushion for turning a profit in 2026 if either or both reached the seats this afternoon. MLB Best Home Run Bets Luis Arraez (San Francisco Giants - 2B) Over 0.
5 Home Runs (+760) at FanDuel Sportsbook Luis Arraez hasn’t hit a home run in 17 games and 71 plate appearances for the San Francisco Giants this year. The left-handed-hitting, contact-oriented infielder’s batting profile is built on batting average over power, and he’s hit only 36 homers in 857 games and 3,604 career plate appearances. Arraez’s career high for homers is only 10 in 147 games and 617 plate appearances in 2023.