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Cubs would've thrown a no-hitter — but Michael Conforto didn't catch this 99% probability out

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He probably should've caught this baseball.

Cubs would've thrown a no-hitter — but Michael Conforto didn't catch this 99% probability out originally appeared on The Sporting News . Add The Sporting News as a Preferred Source by clicking here . The Chicago Cubs nearly threw baseball's first no-hitter of the season.

Instead, Michael Conforto let a fly ball with a 99% catch probability drop, and that was the Cleveland Guardians ' only hit of the entirety of game one of their Sunday doubleheader. It's hard to know on flyballs whether wind or the sky impacts their catchability, but when the Statcast percentage is that high, the ball should probably be caught. Here's how the play looked: Cleveland's only hit vs.

the Cubs today was on a ball that Michael Conforto misjudged We remain in MLB's longest no-hitter drought since 2004-2006 pic. twitter. com/a3Xk45kkyI — Talkin' Baseball (@TalkinBaseball_) April 5, 2026 MORE: Jo Adell robbed 3 home runs in the same game Conforto made an adventure out of the moment out there.

This is what The WARmonger wrote on X: "Catch probability initially 99% on this one, BTW. It may update later but doubt it goes far. Tough way to lose a no-no.