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Sebastian Fundora vs Keith Thurman prediction: Who will win and how

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After a false start last October, Sebastian Fundora and Keith Thurman are set to lead a PPV this Saturday. Who wins?

LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - FEBRUARY 4: Sebastian Fundora, left, the WBC Super Welterweight World Champion, and Keith Thurman, right, face off with promoter Tom Brown standing in between them after a news conference at AVALON Hollywood on February 4, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. The bout will take place at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Saturday, March 28, 2026. (Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images) | Getty Images Previously slated to meet in October before “Towering Inferno” injured his back, Sebastian Fundora and Keith Thurman now helm an Amazon Prime PPV this coming Saturday at Las Vegas’ MGM Grand.

Bad Left Hook will have LIVE coverage of the card starting at 8:00 pm ET. Fundora (23-1-1, 15 KO) put the screws to Tim Tszyu in their rematch last July, extending his winning streak to three since a shocking upset loss to Brian Mendoza in 2023. Thurman (31-1, 23 KO) has fought just once in the last four years, a three-round thumping of Brock Jarvis in hostile territory last March.

Can “One Time” defy the odds once again, or will Fundora once again prove himself the man to beat at 154? Who will win Fundora vs Thurman? Cliche though it may be, this honestly does boil down to how much Thurman has left in the tank, because as far as I can see, his style is perfectly suited for chopping down Fundora.

As much as he’s improved, Fundora still bears a number of shortcomings that his offensive prowess has to compensate for. Some of these are physiological; you can’t expect someone built like Manute Bol to move like Fred Astaire. Others, though, point to some lingering complacency.