Formula 1 Japanese Grand Prix Podium Prediction: Antonelli, Russell, Hamilton — and Leclerc Lurking

The Japanese Grand Prix at Suzuka has a way of sorting out the pretenders from the genuine article, and through two races in 2026 , Mercedes has made it pretty clear which category it occupies. Back-to-back 1-2 finishes to open the season, with George Russell winning in Melbourne and the young superstar Kimi Antonelli taking his maiden victory in Shanghai . That has put Mercedes in a class of their own early in this campaign.

There’s no compelling reason to think Suzuka changes that narrative. So here’s how this one plays out. Watch the Japanese Grand Prix Live on Apple TV+ Also Read: : Max Verstappen Says He’s “Near the End” of His F1 Career, But Why?

1. Kimi Antonelli | Mercedes Credit: F1 Yes, he’s 18 years old. No, that doesn’t matter anymore.

What Antonelli did in China wasn’t just impressive for a rookie — it was impressive period . He managed tire pressure, race pace, and pressure from his teammate with a composure that would make veterans twice his age look uncomfortable. The kid is legitimate, and Suzuka, with its premium on rhythm and commitment through high-speed sequences like the S Curves and 130R, should suit his style.