2026 Fantasy Baseball: Buyer beware — these players are risky picks at their current ADP

When drafting and playing fantasy baseball, it can align with how we invest in anything. If we are more risk-averse, we’ll avoid risky players because of injury and skill concerns. However, the average draft position (ADP) and market have been more efficient, where it becomes sharper.

Risk can be relative, and the risk probability tends to be higher if the draft price is higher. Often, we’ll hear a high-risk, high-reward player, which indicates a player with a high cost who possesses tons of upside. Draft your Yahoo Fantasy Baseball team for the 2026 MLB Season We’ll touch on a few players within different ADP buckets, including inside the top 50 picks, within picks 51-100 and picks 101-150, based on Yahoo Fantasy baseball drafts.

For some, it will be mostly injury risk based on their injuries continuing in 2026, or we might expect some regression. Often, risky prices tend to be related to gut feelings, which come from plenty of offseason research. Risky Picks Within the Top 50 Bryan Woo, SP, Mariners (ADP: 35.

3) After missing two months in 2024 with elbow and hamstring injuries, Bryan Woo shoved those injury concerns aside in 2025 to log 186 innings with 21 quality starts. He dealt with a pectoral injury in late September that kept him out through the rest of the regular season. With the Mariners in the postseason, Woo was eventually added to the ALCS roster, pitching in relief for 4.