Predictions, Odds, Analysis! UFC London, X-Factor
CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - AUGUST 16: Michael Page of England yells while walking into the ring before his middleweight bout during UFC 319 at the United Center on August 16, 2025 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Geoff Stellfox/Getty Images) | Getty Images This weekend (Sat. , March 21, 2026), Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) will venture forth to the 02 Arena in London, England, for UFC London.
Despite the venture across the pond, a lot of this card is underwhelming. It really all revolves around the main event, an incredible matchup between two of the very best Featherweights in the world, Lerone Murphy and Movsar Evloev. This matchup is actually the silver lining to Diego Lopes’ undeserved second title shot: it should have been Murphy or Evloev, but getting to watch the duo compete is a consolation prize.
As for the rest, well, the usual mix of local talent — some fun, some gifted — are being trusted to provide the action. Let’s dig into the analysis and predictions of the five main card fights leading up to the main event: Featherweight: Luke Riley (-265) vs. Michael Aswell (+200) Best Win for Riley?
Bogdan Grad For Aswell? Lucas Almeida Current Streak : Both men won their last UFC bout X-Factor: This is a pair of young, relatively green up-and-comers How these two match up: This matchup is a continued investment in the career of 26-year-0ld Luke Riley. The young striker from Liverpool is an exciting and popular prospect at 145 pounds.
His UFC debut showed several areas that need to be improved if he’s to contend — namely on the floor — but Riley also showed his promise by storming back in the second round and absolutely starching his foe with a heavy combination. Aswell is actually a year younger but doesn’t have the same hype. He’s fought a very solid level of competition for his experience, and boxing has proven to be his best asset.
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