Springer Lights Up the Game as Hecksized Home Runs Light!
DUNEDIN, FLORIDA - MARCH 03: Daulton Varsho #5 of the Toronto Blue Jays rounds third base in the second inning against team Canada during a game at TD Ballpark on March 03, 2026 in Dunedin, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images) | Getty Images Hello Bluebird Banterers and welcome to my first post, formally known as nute39jays I will be trying to help out the two Tom’s with some posts. It is the time of year where a career minor leaguer can look like an All Star and a unknown prospect can put themselves on the public’s radar but, as most know, you can never believe anything that happens in Spring Training what with the small samples and veteran players working on certain aspects of their games.
However that doesn’t mean it can’t be fun to take a look around the Jays Spring Training stats and ask what if this was sustainable or do deep dive to look for signs of actual improvement instead of small sample size noise. I will be digging thru some batted ball data and underlying metrics on a few Blue Jays who have had some interesting starts to their Spring Training to see if even in this small sample there could be something to be excited for or if their current production has been more of a mirage that is likely to fall off more towards their expected production moving forward. Daulton Varsho First up is Daulton Varsho who in his first two seasons as a Jay hit 217/289/398 with 38 HRs, a 24.
9% K rate and a 8. 5% BB rate for a 91 WRC+ over 1094 PAs. Varsho went into last season coming off a off-season shoulder surgery and I would be lying if I said I wasn’t worried as historically shoulder surgeries have had a major impact on a player’s offense the following season but Varsho bucked that trend and put together easily his strongest season as a Jay despite the should surgery and another two months missed due to a hamstring injury Varsho hit .
234/. 284/. 548 with 20 HRs, a 28.
4% K rate and a 6. 3% BB rate for 123 WRC+ over 271 PAs. Last season, Varsho had career highs in AVG EV, Max EV, Barrel rate, Hard Hit Rate, Fly Ball rate and K rate so looked like a batter selling out for power and well it worked for him he had the lowest Zone Contact and total Contact rates of his career but when you are hitting a HR every 14 PAs while being one the best defensive CFs in MLB that is going to provide a ton of value.
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