Must-Hear Final Five in March Madness: Watch for Those Clutch Shooters!
Here are the five games you need to get right to win your bracket pool -- along with picking the national champ, of course.
You’re pouring over your bracket, getting deep into the metrics and season-long results of High Point, Northern Iowa, Kennesaw State and teams of that ilk, trying to pick out the first round upsets, but here’s the secret: Since they’re only worth one point to your total score, like old golf adage “drive for show, putt for dough,” hitting an upset or two on Thursday or Friday is entirely for bragging rights. What really matters is what happens in April, as the only thing that’s mandatory for your chances of winning your bracket pool is grabbing the 32 points awarded in Yahoo’s Men's Bracket Mayhem . It’s crucial that you understand that once you pick that champion, you join a cohort of others with the same selection, and those entries are the only ones you’re really competing with, because of how scoring works.
Here is the pick distribution (via Yahoo! ) for bracket challenges: Duke: 29% picked as national champion Arizona: 21% Michigan: 14% Florida: 6% Houston: 5. 5% [ Enter Yahoo Fantasy Bracket Mayhem now for your shot at $50K ] For example, if you pick Duke as your champion, for every 100 entries there are in your pool, you are competing with 29 of them.
Once you get to just the eighth-most popular pick (Iowa State) and down, you’re only competing with 1% of the population. If nothing else, the information above shows the gap between the No. 1 seeds.
If you look at BetMGM’s betting odds, here is the implied championship win probability for each of those four: Duke +300: 25. 0% Michigan +350: 22. 2% Arizona +400: 20.
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