March Madness most likely upsets: Is Duke, Michigan, Arizona or Florida the riskiest 1 seed in 2026?
Which No. 1 seed will fall first in the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
March Madness most likely upsets: Is Duke, Michigan, Arizona or Florida the riskiest 1 seed in 2026? originally appeared on The Sporting News . Add The Sporting News as a Preferred Source by clicking here .
The No. 1 seeds in March Madness are No. 1 seeds for a reason.
In almost every season, they can be considered the four best college basketball teams from the regular season and conference tournaments — the kind of units that aren't just expected to win one or two NCAA Tournament games, but make a run for the title. Of the 40 national champions since 1985, 26 have been a No. 1 seed, per the NCAA .
Still, there have only been two years where all four No. 1 seeds made the Final Four: 1985 and last year, 2025, when Auburn, Duke, Florida and Houston all went on deep runs. In 2026, four of the sport's most recognizable brands will have favorable paths to the Final Four as top seeds: Duke, Michigan, Arizona and Florida.
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